Development and internal validation of a nomogram for early prediction of hospital-acquired ESKAPE colonization or infection in very preterm infants using indicators available within 24 hours - Summary - MDSpire

Development and internal validation of a nomogram for early prediction of hospital-acquired ESKAPE colonization or infection in very preterm infants using indicators available within 24 hours

  • By

  • Cheng Wen

  • Jieling Ma

  • Lijuan Zhang

  • Liping Yang

  • Xiaoxue Luo

  • Ling Yan

  • June 8, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To develop and internally validate a nomogram for early prediction of hospital-acquired ESKAPE colonization or infection in very preterm infants using clinical indicators available within 24 hours after birth, thereby improving outcomes through timely intervention.

Key Findings:
  • 16.56% of infants developed hospital-acquired ESKAPE colonization or infection, with 67.5% identified within 14 days after birth, highlighting the importance of early detection.
  • Predominant pathogens included Acinetobacter baumannii (34.86%) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (28.44%), primarily from respiratory specimens (82.57%).
  • Four predictors retained in the final model: GA at birth, initial invasive mechanical ventilation, vasoactive exposure within the first 24 hours, and 5-minute Apgar score.
  • The nomogram showed an AUC of 0.786 in the training cohort and 0.770 in the internal validation cohort, indicating moderate discrimination.
Interpretation:

The nomogram can support early risk stratification and infection control prioritization in the NICU.

Limitations:
  • The study is limited to a single center, which may affect generalizability and applicability of the findings.
  • External validation and prospective implementation studies are required before routine clinical adoption.
Conclusion:

The developed nomogram utilizes routine clinical indicators to predict hospital-acquired ESKAPE colonization or infection in very preterm infants, emphasizing the need for external validation.

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