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Can brain age sharpen dementia risk?

  • By

  • Kathryn Wighton

  • September 28, 2026

  • 3 min

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Objective:

To investigate the association between brain age difference and progression to dementia in patients with subjective cognitive decline or mild cognitive impairment.

Approach:
  • Study Design: A retrospective cohort study involving 799 patients from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort and SCIENCe project.
  • Participants: 412 patients with subjective cognitive decline and 387 with mild cognitive impairment.
  • Brain Age Estimation: Brain age was estimated using MRI data analyzed by BrainageR and cNeuro.
  • Analysis Method: Cox proportional hazards models were used, adjusted for various factors including age, sex, and MRI ratings.
Key Findings:
  • 29% of patients progressed to dementia during a median follow-up of 3.2 years.
  • Each additional year of brain-PAD was associated with a 6% higher likelihood of progression after adjustment.
  • In patients with subjective cognitive decline, each additional year of brain-PAD was associated with a 9% higher hazard of progression.
  • Brain-PAD improved model fit, increasing the C-index from 0.77 to 0.79 in subjective cognitive decline patients.
Interpretation:

Lead study author Stefan De Vries noted that brain-PAD captures variance not explained by traditional visual rating scales, indicating its potential utility in assessing dementia risk.

Limitations:
  • Scanner-specific differences affected brain-PAD estimates.
  • The cohort primarily included patients progressing to Alzheimer's disease dementia, limiting generalizability.
  • Visual rating scales do not encompass the full MRI assessment performed by trained radiologists.
Conclusion:

The study authors suggest that brain-PAD may serve as a valuable metric in predicting dementia progression.

Sources:

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