Estimate selection determines the apparent mortality threshold at 13 mL/kg/h - Summary - MDSpire
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Selection of Estimation Influences the Observed Mortality Threshold at 13 mL/kg/h

  • By

  • Shuhao Mei

  • Hailian Yi

  • Yuyin Han

  • Boran Dong

  • Yong Liu

  • Xiaoyang Gong

  • September 15, 2026

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Objective:

To analyze the influence of estimation selection on the observed mortality threshold associated with very-low-dose continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT).

Approach:
  • Analysis Reconstruction: Reconstructed the analysis of Lumlertgul et al. to assess how different estimates affect the observed mortality threshold.
  • Comparison of Models: Contrasted conventional Cox models with marginal structural Cox models to evaluate the impact of treatment and confounding factors.
  • Sensitivity Analysis: Conducted sensitivity analyses to explore the effects of different estimates on pooled results.
Key Findings:
  • The apparent mortality threshold of 13 mL/kg/h varies based on the selected estimate according to the analysis.
  • Conventional analysis yielded a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.70, while marginal structural analysis indicated an HR of 1.08.
  • Neither time-dependent estimate reached statistical significance, suggesting adjustment for time-dependent factors nullified the baseline association.
  • The review's ROBINS-I assessment indicated serious risk of bias from selection of reported results.
Interpretation:

The findings suggest that the choice of estimation method significantly influences the observed association between CRRT dose and mortality.

Limitations:
  • The review protocol lacked clear guidelines for selecting among multiple adjusted estimates.
  • Significant heterogeneity in meta-analysis results exceeded the threshold for reporting.
Conclusion:

The analysis highlights the need for clarity in estimate selection and reporting.

Sources:

Original Source(s)

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