Impact of COVID-19 Restrictions on Estimating Causal Effects: Fluoroquinolones and Tendon Rupture - Summary - MDSpire
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How COVID-19 Restrictions Affect Causal Effect Estimates: Fluoroquinolone Use and Tendon Rupture

  • By

  • Angel Y. S. Wong

  • Jeremy P. Brown

  • John Tazare

  • Marleen Bokern

  • Elizabeth Williamson

  • Jonathan Bartlett

  • Charlotte Warren-Gash

  • Ian Douglas

  • October 15, 2026

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Objective:

To assess whether pandemic-related changes in healthcare seeking and recording affected estimates of the association between fluoroquinolone use and tendon rupture, compared with cephalosporin use.

Approach:
  • Design: Replicated a published cohort study and compared treatment-effect estimates across four analyses with different exposure and outcome ascertainment periods: pre-pandemic data for both, pre-pandemic exposure with outcome data spanning all periods, the complete dataset for both, and post-pandemic data for both. In the first analysis, follow-up was censored at pandemic onset.
  • Data and population: Used linked CPRD Aurum primary-care records, Office for National Statistics death records, and Hospital Episode Statistics hospital records. Included adults receiving a first systemic fluoroquinolone or cephalosporin prescription from 1 January 2006 to 31 March 2023, with the required prior registration and data linkage, and excluded those with a tendon rupture diagnosis in the preceding year.
  • Period definitions: Defined the pandemic period as beginning 16 March 2020 and the post-pandemic period as beginning 17 April 2022.
Interpretation:

The supplied context describes the study rationale and methods but does not include results or effect estimates.

Limitations:
  • The supplied article context ends during the methods section and does not include study results.
  • Tendon rupture was identified from diagnostic records entered by primary-care or hospital clinicians and was not necessarily specialist-confirmed.
Sources:

Original Source(s)

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