Development and Validation of a Novel Hepato-Metabolic-Renal Score Nomogram for Predicting Disease-Free Survival in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma - Summary - MDSpire

Development and Validation of a Novel Hepato-Metabolic-Renal Score Nomogram for Predicting Disease-Free Survival in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

  • By

  • Lu, Lu

  • Chen, Yue

  • An, Shudong

  • Niu, Nuoxuan

  • Chen, Qian

  • Ban, Xinyu

  • Liu, Shuyan

  • Wang, Shiyang

  • Zhang, Xiaorong

  • Wei, Yanqiang

  • Yao, Lan

  • Bai, Yanxia

  • April 29, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To develop and validate an integrative physiological score for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in surgical patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

Key Findings:
  • HMRS showed significant prognostic value for DFS in both training (HR=2.907, P=0.001) and validation (HR=2.356, P=0.031) cohorts.
  • The nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination with AUCs of 0.913/0.899/0.896 in training and 0.952/0.891/0.923 in validation for 1/3/5 years.
  • Good calibration and positive net benefit were observed in decision curve analysis.
  • Subgroup analyses confirmed consistent performance across clinical subsets.
Interpretation:

The Hepato-Metabolic-Renal Score is a novel and practical tool for predicting recurrence risk in surgical HNSCC patients, enhancing personalized treatment strategies.

Limitations:
  • Single-center study may limit generalizability.
  • Further validation in diverse populations is needed.
Conclusion:

The HMRS and its nomogram represent a significant advancement in precision surgery for HNSCC, allowing for personalized recurrence risk estimation.

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