Application of predicting risk of cardiovascular disease events equations on postoperative major adverse cardiac and cerebral events for patients undergoing thoracic surgery - Summary - MDSpire

Application of predicting risk of cardiovascular disease events equations on postoperative major adverse cardiac and cerebral events for patients undergoing thoracic surgery

  • By

  • Wan-Qiu Fan

  • Shuang Wang

  • Er-Yi Zhu

  • Chun-Yu Yu

  • Yi-Kai Liu

  • Hong Li

  • Ke-Xuan Liu

  • Hua-Min Liu

  • July 1, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To evaluate the association between PREVENT equations and postoperative cardiovascular events in thoracic surgical patients.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective cohort study of 1,073 patients undergoing thoracic surgery at Nanfang Hospital from January 2019 to October 2023.
  • Risk Assessment: Calculated sex-specific PREVENT risk scores for ASCVD, CHD, HF, and total CVD to assess 30-day postoperative MACCE.
  • Statistical Analysis: Used multivariate logistic regression and ROC curves to evaluate MACCE risk and discriminative ability.
Key Findings:
  • In females, a one SD increase in ASCVD score was associated with higher odds of postoperative angina (OR = 1.95, FDR corrected P = 0.0381).
  • CHD score was significantly associated with female angina (OR = 1.83, FDR corrected P = 0.0354) and AMI (OR = 1.46, FDR corrected P = 0.0386).
  • No PREVENT risk scores were significantly associated with MACCE in males (all FDR corrected P > 0.05).
  • The PREVENT equations showed light to moderate discrimination with AUCs ranging from 0.65 to 0.75 in female patients.
Interpretation:

The PREVENT equations demonstrated preliminary associations with 30-day postoperative MACCE in non-cardiac thoracic surgical female patients, but not in male patients.

Limitations:
  • Retrospective design may introduce bias.
  • Findings may not be generalizable to all thoracic surgical populations.
Conclusion:

The PREVENT equations may be useful for assessing cardiovascular risk in female patients undergoing thoracic surgery.

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