Developing and validating a lactate-to-albumin ratio-enhanced score for mortality prediction in ICU patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a multi-cohort study - Summary - MDSpire

Developing and validating a lactate-to-albumin ratio-enhanced score for mortality prediction in ICU patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a multi-cohort study

  • By

  • Jun An

  • Peng Liu

  • Yingqun Ji

  • June 15, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To evaluate the predictive value of the lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR) for 28-day mortality in ICU patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE) and to explore its potential role in the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) score.

Approach:
    Key Findings:
    • LAR showed a linear relationship with 28-day mortality.
    • AUC for LAR predicting mortality was 0.610 (derivation), 0.710 (first validation), and 0.647 (second validation).
    • The LAR-sPESI score improved predictive performance modestly: AUC = 0.650 (derivation), 0.733 (first validation), 0.701 (second validation).
    • DCA indicated potential clinical utility of LAR within certain thresholds across cohorts.
    • LAR had moderate discriminative ability for norepinephrine use but limited predictive performance for thrombolysis and mechanical ventilation.
    Interpretation:

    LAR serves as a predictor of 28-day mortality in ICU patients with APE, with the LAR-sPESI score showing modest improvements in predictive performance.

    Limitations:
    • The study is retrospective and may have inherent biases.
    • The predictive performance for certain clinical interventions was limited.
    Conclusion:

    LAR may enhance risk stratification in ICU patients with APE, though the LAR-sPESI score showed only modest numerical gains in predictive performance.

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