Association Between Cigarette Smoking and SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Insights from Multivariable Regression and Mendelian Randomization in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study - Summary - MDSpire

Association Between Cigarette Smoking and SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Insights from Multivariable Regression and Mendelian Randomization in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study

  • By

  • Ida Henriette Caspersen

  • Álvaro Hernáez

  • Sebastián Peña

  • Ahmed Nabil Shaaban

  • Maria Christine Magnus

  • Sakari Karvonen

  • Maria Rosaria Galanti

  • Per Magnus

  • February 4, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the association between smoking traits and risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection using standard multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses, highlighting its significance for public health.

Key Findings:
  • Current smokers showed a lower risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to non-smokers in observational studies.
  • Mendelian randomization analyses indicated a positive association between genetically predicted smoking traits and confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection.
  • Discrepancies between MR and observational studies may arise from biases in observational data or violations of MR assumptions, which could have significant implications for understanding smoking's health effects.
Interpretation:

The study highlights conflicting evidence regarding smoking's impact on SARS-CoV-2 infection risk, suggesting that genetic predisposition may reveal different associations than traditional observational methods, which is crucial for future research.

Limitations:
  • Potential biases from residual confounding in observational studies.
  • Possible violations of MR assumptions, including weak instruments and horizontal pleiotropy, which should be addressed in future studies.
Conclusion:

Understanding the causal relationship between smoking and COVID-19 outcomes is crucial for public health messaging, particularly in pandemic contexts, and could inform future strategies.

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