Multidisciplinary prediction of running-related injuries using machine learning - Summary - MDSpire

Multidisciplinary prediction of running-related injuries using machine learning

  • By

  • Han Wu

  • Katherine Brooke-Wavell

  • Michael R. Barnes

  • Zainab Awan

  • Sarabjit Mastana

  • Sam Allen

  • Richard C. Blagrove

  • February 6, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To develop a machine learning-ready dataset for predicting running-related injuries (RRI) using a variety of risk factors from multiple disciplines.

Key Findings:
  • Moderate improvement in prediction performance (AUC = 0.784 ± 0.014) compared to previous models, indicating a better predictive capability.
  • Random forest algorithm achieved the highest performance (AUC = 0.781 ± 0.016, 0.784 ± 0.014).
  • Logistic regression showed significant improvement when trained with a broader range of risk factors.
Interpretation:

The study provides a reproducible framework for future machine learning research in sports injury prediction, emphasizing the importance of integrating diverse risk factors to enhance predictive accuracy.

Limitations:
  • The dataset is limited to competitive endurance runners, which may affect generalizability to other populations.
  • Some metrics need to remain normalized to ensure participant anonymity, potentially limiting data richness.
Conclusion:

This research contributes valuable insights and a dataset for advancing machine learning applications in predicting running-related injuries.

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