GLP-1 RAs Associated With Small ION Risk Increase - Summary - MDSpire

GLP-1 RAs Associated With Small ION Risk Increase

  • By

  • Andrea Surnit

  • July 13, 2026

  • 5 min

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Objective:

To evaluate the risk of ischemic optic neuropathy (ION) associated with the initiation of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) compared to sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) in adults with type 2 diabetes.

Approach:
  • Study Design: A large observational analysis using the Merative MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database to emulate a hypothetical randomized trial from January 2017 through December 2022.
  • Cohorts: Included adults aged 18 to 65 years with type 2 diabetes who initiated GLP-1 RAs, SGLT2i, or DPP-4i, excluding those with prior use of these medications or ischemic optic neuropathy.
  • Outcome Measurement: The primary outcome was incident ischemic optic neuropathy, serving as a proxy for nonarteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION).
  • Data Analysis: Adjusted for over 80 baseline characteristics using inverse probability of treatment weighting.
Key Findings:
  • At 18 months, the adjusted cumulative risk of ION was approximately 9 cases per 10,000 for GLP-1 RA initiators compared to 6 per 10,000 for SGLT2i initiators, with 81 ION events among GLP-1 RA initiators, 48 among SGLT2i initiators, and 33 among DPP-4i initiators.
  • The risk difference was about 3 cases per 10,000 between GLP-1 RAs and SGLT2is, and about 4 cases per 10,000 when compared to DPP-4is.
  • The majority of ION events among GLP-1 RA initiators occurred in patients older than 50 years and predominantly in men.
  • The risk differences were smaller and not statistically significant when requiring more specific outcome definitions.
Interpretation:

The study suggests a potential association between GLP-1 RAs and increased risk of ION, but residual confounding factors related to diabetes duration and severity may influence these findings.

Limitations:
  • The observational design limits the ability to control for unmeasured confounding factors.
  • The rarity of ION events reduces the precision of secondary and subgroup analyses.
  • The study population was limited to commercially insured adults aged 18 to 65 years.
Conclusion:

The findings should be interpreted cautiously, considering the potential residual confounding and the established benefits of GLP-1 RAs.

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