Risk stratification model based on estimated dose of radiation to immune cells and radiotherapy-related nadir lymphocyte count for predicting the efficacy of consolidation immunotherapy in stage III non-small cell lung cancer - Summary - MDSpire

Risk stratification model based on estimated dose of radiation to immune cells and radiotherapy-related nadir lymphocyte count for predicting the efficacy of consolidation immunotherapy in stage III non-small cell lung cancer

  • By

  • Wenlu Chen

  • Yu Liang

  • Qing Hou

  • Xin Cao

  • Anqi Zhao

  • Baixue Wu

  • Yuying Zhou

  • Wenbo Zhang

  • Meng Zhao

  • Ningning Yao

  • Feng Li

  • Jianchun Duan

  • Shuangping Zhang

  • Ning Li

  • Jianzhong Cao

  • July 9, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To evaluate the prognostic value of estimated dose of radiation to immune cells (EDRIC) and radiotherapy-related nadir lymphocyte count (RT-NLC) for predicting outcomes in patients with unresectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy and immunotherapy.

Approach:
  • Risk Stratification: High-risk patients were defined as having EDRIC ≥ 6.75 Gy and RT-NLC < 0.54×10^9/L.
Key Findings:
  • EDRIC inversely correlated with RT-NLC (r = -0.38, P < 0.001).
  • Lower EDRIC was associated with significantly improved median overall survival (OS: 49.7 vs. 38.1 months, P = 0.015), progression-free survival (PFS: 29.7 vs. 17.3 months, P = 0.006), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS: 32.4 vs. 19.8 months, P = 0.004), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS: 44.8 vs. 24.0 months, P = 0.001).
  • High RT-NLC group showed prolonged median distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS: 44.8 vs 26.8 months, P = 0.012).
  • High-risk patients demonstrated inferior survival (P < 0.05) but derived significant benefit from consolidation immunotherapy, with improved OS (HR = 0.37, P = 0.041), PFS (HR = 0.44, P = 0.034), and DMFS (HR = 0.33, P = 0.011).
Interpretation:

EDRIC and RT-NLC are significant prognostic biomarkers in unresectable stage III NSCLC.

Limitations:
  • Retrospective design may introduce bias.
  • Single-center study limits generalizability.
  • Need for prospective validation of findings.
Conclusion:

The study supports the identification of high-risk patients who may benefit from consolidation immunotherapy.

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