Prognostic value of baseline PSMA PET/CT for survival in synchronous metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer: towards redefining low- and high-volume disease - Summary - MDSpire
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Evaluating the Prognostic Significance of Initial PSMA PET/CT Imaging for Survival Outcomes in Synchronous Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer: A Shift in Understanding Low- versus High-Volume Disease

  • By

  • Fleur Kleiburg

  • Linda Heijmen

  • Annemieke Witteveen

  • Kiki van Duuren

  • Paul Zuidgeest

  • Frits Smit

  • Lioe-Fee de Geus-Oei

  • Tom van der Hulle

  • September 16, 2026

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Objective:

To establish a foundation for revising risk stratification among patients with synchronous metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) using PSMA PET/CT imaging for improved prognostic assessment.

Approach:
  • Patient Population: A bicentric retrospective study included patients diagnosed with mHSPC at Leiden University Medical Centre or Alrijne Hospital from April 2017 to August 2023, who underwent PSMA PET/CT and initiated androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).
  • Imaging and Analysis: PSMA PET/CT scans were performed and analyzed to classify patients into low-volume disease (LVDMDT) or high-volume disease (HVDMDT) based on expert opinion in multidisciplinary team meetings.
  • Clinical Parameters: Clinical variables such as age, WHO performance status, initial prostate-specific antigen (iPSA) concentration, Gleason Score, alkaline phosphatase (ALP) concentration, and hemoglobin (Hb) concentration were recorded.
  • Study Endpoints: Overall survival (OS) and PSA progression-free survival (PSA-PFS) were the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively.
Key Findings:
  • PSMA PET/CT imaging demonstrates higher sensitivity and specificity than conventional imaging.
  • Approximately 40% of patients with mHSPC were restaged due to PSMA PET/CT identifying lesions missed by conventional imaging.
  • Current classifications of low-volume and high-volume disease may not accurately represent tumor burden as determined by PSMA PET/CT.
Interpretation:

The study indicates a need for a revised classification system for mHSPC that incorporates PSMA PET/CT findings.

Limitations:
  • The study's retrospective design and limitation to two centers may affect the generalizability of the findings.
  • No established threshold values for PSMA PET/CT findings exist for clinical application.
Conclusion:

A structured approach to integrating PSMA PET/CT findings into prognostic assessments is necessary for optimizing treatment strategies in mHSPC.

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