CHA2DS2-VA score for predicting ventricular arrhythmias and mortality in ICD patients with ischemic heart disease and dilated cardiomyopathy: results from a prospective cohort - Summary - MDSpire

CHA2DS2-VA score for predicting ventricular arrhythmias and mortality in ICD patients with ischemic heart disease and dilated cardiomyopathy: results from a prospective cohort

  • By

  • Benjamin Vögeli

  • Patrick Badertscher

  • Nicolas Schaerli

  • Christian Sticherling

  • Michael Kühne

  • Felix Mahfoud

  • Philipp Krisai

  • Beat Schär

  • May 13, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the predictive value of the CHA2DS2-VA score for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and ventricular arrhythmia specifically in ICD patients with ischemic heart disease and dilated cardiomyopathy.

Key Findings:
  • Median CHA2DS2-VA score was 3 overall, 2 in DCM, and 4 in IHD patients.
  • 46% of patients died during a median follow-up of 7.5 years.
  • Higher CHA2DS2-VA scores correlated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in both IHD (HR 2.36, 95% CI 1.99–2.80) and DCM (HR 1.98, 95% CI 1.44–2.73).
  • Each one-point increase in CHA2DS2-VA increased mortality risk (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.34–1.47).
  • No association was found between CHA2DS2-VA and the occurrence of ventricular arrhythmias.
Interpretation:

The CHA2DS2-VA score is a strong predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in ICD patients with IHD and DCM, indicating its potential role in clinical decision-making, but it does not predict ventricular arrhythmias.

Limitations:
  • The study is limited to a single center, which may affect generalizability to broader populations.
  • The analysis did not include patients without ICD therapy, potentially limiting the applicability of findings.
Conclusion:

CHA2DS2-VA is useful for mortality risk stratification in ICD patients but should not be used for arrhythmic risk assessment.

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