Extrapolation of MAP trends predicts hypotension and vasopressor up-titration in the ICU. - Summary - MDSpire
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Forecasting MAP Patterns to Anticipate Hypotension and Increased Vasopressor Administration in Intensive Care Units

  • By

  • Iain Edmund Kehoe

  • Jeremy Alanano Pepino

  • Jin-Oh Hahn

  • Mary McAuley

  • Laura Lux

  • Abigail O’Connell

  • Noelle Saillant

  • Haitham S. Alabsi

  • Jarone Lee

  • Andrew Tomas Reisner

  • October 5, 2026

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Objective:

To evaluate a clinical decision support system (CDSS) designed to predict hypotension in real time in ICU patients.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Pilot evaluation involving 20 adult ICU patient-subject/nurse-subject pairs with continuous vasopressor therapy and BP monitoring.
  • CDSS Functionality: The CDSS linked to bedside monitors to predict hypotension events and issue notifications based on MAP data.
  • Data Collection: Data were collected from 18 patients over 3.3 patient-days, focusing on hypotension-clusters.
Key Findings:
  • The median patient experienced hypotension for 119.7 min/day.
  • The CDSS detected every hypotension-cluster (100%) and predicted 91.7% of vasopressor dose increases.
  • 44% of hypotension-clusters were predicted before they began.
Interpretation:

The findings validate that MAP frequently falls below target in temporal clusters, and early flickering hypotension often precedes deeper hypotensive episodes.

Limitations:
  • The study involved a small sample size of 20 subjects.
  • The CDSS did not generate predictions during active hypotension.
Conclusion:

Timely intervention after predicted hypotension may have reduced the duration of hypotension.

Sources:

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