Risk Factors of Myopia - Summary - MDSpire

Risk Factors of Myopia

  • By

  • Aldo Vagge

  • Carla Lança

  • Stephanie Kearney

  • Andrzej Grzybowski

  • May 14, 2026

  • 8 min

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Objective:

To understand the multifactorial risk factors contributing to the onset and progression of myopia, emphasizing its public health implications.

Key Findings:
  • Global myopia prevalence rose from 23% in 2000 to an estimated 34% in 2020, with projections nearing 50% by 2050, highlighting a growing public health concern.
  • Children with one myopic parent have double the risk of developing myopia; two myopic parents increase the risk fivefold.
  • Each additional diopter-hour of near work per week increases myopia odds by approximately 2%.
  • An additional hour of outdoor activity per day is associated with a 45% reduction in incident myopia.
Interpretation:

The rise in myopia prevalence is driven by a combination of genetic predisposition and environmental factors, particularly educational demands and reduced outdoor activity, necessitating urgent action.

Limitations:
  • Current evidence on the impact of digital screen time on myopia is heterogeneous, indicating a need for further research.
  • Limited understanding of the independent contributions of sleep duration and postural habits.
Conclusion:

Addressing lifestyle factors, particularly increasing outdoor time, is crucial for myopia prevention, especially in children, alongside necessary policy changes.

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