Development and external validation of a 90-day mortality prediction model for comatose sepsis patients: impact of cerebrovascular disease and dementia - Summary - MDSpire
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Development and external validation of a 90-day mortality prediction model for comatose sepsis patients: impact of cerebrovascular disease and dementia
To develop and validate a prediction model for 90-day mortality in comatose sepsis patients, with a focus on how cerebrovascular disease and dementia modulate the prognostic value of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS).
Approach:
External Validation: Conducted external validation with contemporary institutional data (n = 251) from 2022 to 2026.
Key Findings:
GCS was not a significant independent predictor in the final model (OR 1.09 per one-point decrease, P = 0.126), but exploratory analyses indicated that lower GCS was associated with higher mortality in patients without cerebrovascular disease (OR 1.45) or dementia (OR 1.40).
Interpretation:
Cerebrovascular disease and dementia significantly modulate the prognostic value of GCS in predicting 90-day mortality in comatose sepsis patients.
Limitations:
The study is retrospective and may be subject to biases inherent in observational data, including selection bias and confounding factors.
External validation was limited to one institution, which may affect generalizability.
Conclusion:
The developed model provides superior risk stratification for comatose sepsis patients.