Modeling Oxygen Saturation Targets, Mortality, and Retinopathy Among Extremely Preterm Infants - Summary - MDSpire

Assessing Oxygen Saturation Goals, Survival Rates, and Retinopathy in Extremely Preterm Neonates

  • By

  • Brian C. King

  • John A. F. Zupancic

  • Erika M. Edwards

  • Danielle E. Y. Ehret

  • Jeffrey D. Horbar

  • Roger F. Soll

  • Barbara K. Schmidt

  • July 21, 2026

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Objective:

To estimate the incremental effectiveness of higher vs lower oxygen saturation target ranges for extremely preterm infants and evaluate how local baseline risks may influence the risk-benefit trade-off.

Approach:
  • Study Design: A decision analytical modeling study using individual patient microsimulation based on data from the NeOProM Collaboration and Vermont Oxford Network.
  • Model Structure: Simulated infants were assigned gestational age and distributed into performance subgroups based on center-based risks of mortality and treated retinopathy of prematurity (ROP).
  • Outcomes: Outcomes included treated ROP, surgical necrotizing enterocolitis, chronic lung disease at 36 weeks, and mortality before discharge.
Key Findings:
  • No difference in primary composite outcome of death or disability at 18-24 months between higher (91%-95%) and lower (85%-89%) oxygen saturation target ranges as reported in the NeOProM trials.
  • Higher oxygen saturation target range was associated with decreased risks of surgical necrotizing enterocolitis and mortality according to the study findings.
  • Lower oxygen saturation target range was associated with decreased risk of treatment for retinopathy of prematurity and chronic lung disease at 36 weeks as indicated by the results.
Interpretation:

Trade-offs between risks and benefits of different oxygen saturation targets should be informed by individual patient and center risks as indicated by the study.

Limitations:
  • Baseline risks differing from the NeOProM trials could change expected treatment effects.
  • Risks for important neonatal outcomes vary greatly between centers and over time.
Conclusion:

The study provides insights into the effectiveness of oxygen saturation targets in extremely preterm infants, emphasizing the need for individualized approaches based on local risks.

Sources:

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