International metastatic renal cell carcinoma database consortium classification and regression tree analysis to characterize objective response rates to first line in metastatic renal cell carcinoma - Summary - MDSpire

International metastatic renal cell carcinoma database consortium classification and regression tree analysis to characterize objective response rates to first line in metastatic renal cell carcinoma

  • By

  • Martin Zarba

  • Dylan O’Sullivan

  • David Maj

  • Winson Y. Cheung

  • Lisa Ludwig

  • Connor Wells

  • Evan Ferrier

  • Razane El Hajj Chehade

  • Frede Donskov

  • Marc Eid

  • Sumanta Kumar Pal

  • Benoit Beuselinck

  • Rana R. McKay

  • Lori Wood

  • Jae Lyun Lee

  • Cristina Suárez

  • Kosuke Takemura

  • Ignacio Duran

  • Toni K. Choueiri

  • Daniel YC Heng

  • May 4, 2026

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Objective:

To identify subgroups of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) who have a high probability of response to first-line systemic treatment using machine learning techniques.

Approach:
    Key Findings:
    • 2,549 patients included, with an overall response rate (ORR) of 36.0%.
    • VEGF inhibitors had the lowest ORR at 29.6%, while IO-IO and IO-TKI combinations had ORRs of 39.1% and 50.2%, respectively.
    • Five key variables identified: therapy type, nephrectomy, lung metastasis, other sites of metastasis, and age.
    • The highest ORR was in patients treated with IO-TKI and nephrectomy (54.9%) and IO-IO with nephrectomy and lung metastasis (59.8%).
    • Factors associated with poorer ORR included non-clear cell histology, older age, bone and liver metastases, poor performance status, elevated neutrophils, and poor IMDC risk score.
    • Patient demographics included 73.2% male and 13.5% with non-clear cell histology.
    Interpretation:

    The study suggests that treatment selection for mRCC could be optimized by considering identified hierarchical variables, particularly therapy type, which may enhance clinical decision-making.

    Limitations:
    • The study is retrospective and may be subject to selection bias, potentially affecting the generalizability of the findings.
    • Further validation of the findings is needed in independent cohorts.
    Conclusion:

    This large-scale ML analysis highlights the potential for improved treatment selection in mRCC based on specific clinical variables.

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