Cumulative triglyceride-glucose-body mass index exposure and cardiovascular disease risk: findings from the Kailuan study - Summary - MDSpire

Cumulative triglyceride-glucose-body mass index exposure and cardiovascular disease risk: findings from the Kailuan study

  • By

  • Peng Fu

  • Yuxian Wang

  • Kuangyi Wu

  • Huancong Zheng

  • Zegui Huang

  • Weiqiang Wu

  • Zefeng Cai

  • Ning Wang

  • Hong Zheng

  • Haixiang Zheng

  • Bo Zhang

  • Shouling Wu

  • Youren Chen

  • July 13, 2026

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Objective:

To investigate the association between cumulative triglyceride-glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) exposure and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Chinese population.

Approach:
  • Study Design: The Kailuan Study included 47,577 individuals without a history of CVD or cancer, who underwent health examinations in 2006, 2008, and 2010.
  • Cumulative Exposure Calculation: Cumulative TyG-BMI exposure was calculated as the weighted sum of the mean TyG-BMI for each time interval.
  • Statistical Analysis: Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the relationship between cumulative TyG-BMI exposure and risk of CVD.
Key Findings:
  • 3,514 incident cardiovascular events occurred during a median follow-up of 10 years.
  • The risk of CVD increased with increasing cumulative TyG-BMI exposure quartile.
  • Cox regression analysis yielded hazard ratios of 1.32, 1.33, and 1.44 for the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups compared to the Q1 group.
  • A significant non-linear relationship was found between cumulative TyG-BMI index and the risk of CVD.
  • The area under the ROC curve for cumulative TyG-BMI was 0.6047, indicating modestly higher discriminative performance than TyG and BMI.
Interpretation:

High cumulative TyG-BMI exposure is associated with an increased risk of CVD.

Limitations:
  • The study is limited to a specific population in China, which may affect generalizability.
  • Causal relationships cannot be established due to the observational nature of the study.
Conclusion:

Cumulative TyG-BMI exposure is linked to increased CVD risk.

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