Immunological coagulation dual axis stratification identifies ultra high-risk phenotypes in systemic sclerosis - Summary - MDSpire

Immunological coagulation dual axis stratification identifies ultra high-risk phenotypes in systemic sclerosis

  • By

  • Yaqi Zhao

  • Yan An

  • Qingrui Yang

  • Zhenzhen Ma

  • July 2, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To construct a comprehensive immune-inflammation-coagulation-fibrinolysis (IICF) network and evaluate its topological features and prognostic value across distinct organ involvement phenotypes in systemic sclerosis.

Approach:
  • Patient Enrollment: 287 patients with systemic sclerosis were retrospectively enrolled, categorized by organ involvement.
  • Composite Indices Calculation: Twelve composite indices encompassing IICF pathways were calculated using established methodologies.
  • Prognostic Score Development: LASSO-Cox regression was used to build a multi-index prognostic score.
  • Clustering Analysis: K-means clustering was performed to identify molecular endotypes based on the calculated indices.
  • Survival Analysis: Patients were stratified using optimal cut-off values of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) and the D-dimer-to-Platelet Ratio (DPR) for dual-axis survival analysis.
Key Findings:
  • Patients with concurrent elevation of both SII and DPR had a 7.41-fold higher mortality risk than those with dual-low levels (HR 7.41, 95% CI 2.09–26.30, P = 0.002).
  • Elevation of either index alone did not reach statistical significance.
  • Three IICF molecular endotypes were identified, showing incomplete concordance with the presence of ILD or PH.
  • The multi-index prognostic score had an area under the curve of 0.747 for mortality prediction.
Interpretation:

Adverse outcomes in systemic sclerosis are driven by systemic network disequilibrium rather than isolated pathway aberrations, highlighting the interplay between immune activation and coagulation dysregulation.

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and conducted at a single center, which may limit the generalizability of the findings.
  • Echocardiography was used for PH diagnosis, which may not be as definitive as right heart catheterization.
Conclusion:

IICF-based dual-axis stratification and multi-index scoring provide a quantifiable approach for precision phenotyping in systemic sclerosis.

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