Association between metabolic risk factors and hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies
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By
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Xiaoli Yang
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Peng Fu
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Hui Liu
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July 17, 2026
Objective:
To investigate the association between metabolic risk factors and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
Approach:
- Study Selection: Included 73 studies with over 45 million participants, focusing on metabolic risk factors and HCC incidence.
- Data Analysis: Used hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) to assess pooled risk.
Key Findings:
- Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with increased HCC risk (HR = 1.80, 95%CI: 1.44–2.25).
- Diabetes mellitus (DM) significantly increases HCC risk (HR = 2.01, 95%CI: 1.79–2.27).
- Body mass index (BMI) ≥ 24 kg/m2 correlates with higher HCC risk (HR = 1.47, 95%CI: 1.35–1.61).
- Waist circumference (WC) is positively associated with HCC risk (HR = 1.39, 95%CI: 1.26–1.55).
- Waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) is positively associated with HCC risk (HR = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.16–1.52).
- Elevated triglycerides (TG) are positively associated with HCC risk (HR = 1.36, 95%CI: 1.09–1.69).
- Hypertension is positively associated with HCC risk (HR = 1.43, 95%CI: 1.13–1.81).
- High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) disturbances are linked to decreased HCC risk (elevated, HR = 0.88, 95%CI: 0.81–0.96; reduced, HR = 0.96, 95%CI: 0.93–0.99).
- Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is associated with a reduced risk of HCC (HR = 0.44, 95%CI: 0.32–0.62).
Interpretation:
Adverse metabolic risk factors are linked to an increased risk of HCC, suggesting potential areas for screening and prevention.
Limitations:
- The study only included cohort studies, which may limit the generalizability of the findings.
- Potential publication bias and variability in study designs and definitions of metabolic risk factors.
Conclusion:
Identifying and managing metabolic risk factors may provide insights into HCC prevention strategies.
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