Independent prognostic value of the triglyceride–glucose index and its incremental predictive contribution beyond traditional risk markers in acute heart failure: a retrospective cohort study - Summary - MDSpire

Independent prognostic value of the triglyceride–glucose index and its incremental predictive contribution beyond traditional risk markers in acute heart failure: a retrospective cohort study

  • By

  • Bolan Zhang

  • Bijian Wang

  • Lei Xia

  • Yaoyu Qi

  • Ying Xia

  • Binyan Lang

  • Yi Wang

  • Taidou Jiang

  • Yue Cao

  • Shuzhan Zheng

  • May 29, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To evaluate the association between the triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index and adverse outcomes in patients with acute heart failure, and to assess its independent prognostic value compared to NT-proBNP in terms of predictive performance.

Key Findings:
  • 184 patients experienced the composite endpoint during follow-up.
  • Higher TyG levels were independently associated with an increased risk of the composite endpoint (HR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.35–2.25, P < 0.001).
  • Patients in the highest TyG quartile had a significantly higher risk compared to those in the lowest quartile (HR = 2.17, 95% CI: 1.34–3.50).
  • TyG demonstrated a discriminative ability comparable to NT-proBNP, with a combined model achieving a higher area under the curve.
  • Threshold effect analysis identified a significant threshold at TyG = 9.659.
Interpretation:

TyG is independently associated with adverse composite outcomes in patients with acute heart failure.

Limitations:
  • Single-center study may limit generalizability; results may not apply to broader populations.
  • Retrospective design may introduce selection bias, affecting the reliability of the findings.
Conclusion:

TyG may provide additional prognostic information in patients with acute heart failure beyond traditional biomarkers, suggesting its potential role in clinical risk stratification.

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