Marked Increase in Diabetic Ketoacidosis Rates With Modest Increase in HbA1c Elevation at Diabetes Diagnosis in Swedish Children - Summary - MDSpire
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Significant Rise in Diabetic Ketoacidosis Incidence Linked to Slight Increase in HbA1c Levels at Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis Among Swedish Pediatric Patients

  • By

  • Frida Sundberg

  • Katarina Eeg-Olofsson

  • Karin Åkesson

  • September 17, 2026

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Objective:

To analyze the rising incidence of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes (T1D) among Swedish children and its association with HbA1c levels.

Approach:
  • Data Analysis: Utilized data from the Swediabkids/National Diabetes Register from 2000 to 2025 to assess trends in DKA incidence and HbA1c levels at T1D diagnosis.
  • Cross-Sectional Analysis: Conducted a cross-sectional analysis to explore the relationship between healthcare personnel (HCP) delayed diagnosis and DKA risk.
Key Findings:
  • 30% of children diagnosed with T1D presented with metabolic acidosis (DKA) in 2025, up from 14%-17% in 2000-2004.
  • Severe DKA (pH < 7.1) occurred in 8.4%-10% of cases during 2021-2025, compared to 4.3%-8.6% in 2007-2011.
  • Mean HbA1c levels at diagnosis increased slightly from 92-97 mmol/mol (2007-2011) to 96-98 mmol/mol (2021-2025).
  • The incidence of T1D among children younger than 15 years has doubled from 1978 to 2019.
Interpretation:

The increase in DKA incidence at T1D diagnosis may indicate a more aggressive disease progression rather than solely delayed diagnosis by healthcare personnel.

Limitations:
  • The cross-sectional design limits conclusions about trends in HCP-delayed diagnosis over time.
  • Data collection in earlier years (2000-2004) was incomplete, which may affect the reliability of historical comparisons.
Conclusion:

Further investigation into modifiable risk factors associated with disease progression is warranted, alongside immediate plasma glucose measurement in symptomatic children.

Sources:

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