A Model for Predicting Recurrence of Acute Pancreatitis in Children Using Serological Markers in the Absence of Pancreaticobiliary Anomalies - Summary - MDSpire

A Model for Predicting Recurrence of Acute Pancreatitis in Children Using Serological Markers in the Absence of Pancreaticobiliary Anomalies

  • By

  • Xueyi Hu

  • Tao Zhang

  • Yuan Cheng

  • Shiqin Qi

  • Zhubin Pan

  • April 28, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To explore the related influencing factors of recurrent acute pancreatitis in children and provide a reference for clinical early identification of high-risk children with recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP), emphasizing the significance of early detection.

Key Findings:
  • Significant differences in triglyceride, high density lipoprotein, blood glucose, and D-dimer levels between the two groups (P < 0.05).
  • HDL, blood glucose, and D-dimer were identified as independent factors for RAP, with specific odds ratios and confidence intervals.
  • Combined diagnostic model showed high predictive efficacy with an AUC of 0.943 (95% CI: 0.902–0.983).
Interpretation:

HDL serves as a protective factor against RAP, while blood glucose and D-dimer are risk factors; the combined detection of these indicators enhances early diagnosis accuracy, with HDL's protective role explained.

Limitations:
  • Retrospective design may introduce bias.
  • Study conducted at a single center, limiting generalizability.
  • Potential confounding factors may not have been controlled for.
Conclusion:

Clinical combined detection of HDL, blood glucose, and D-dimer can improve early diagnosis of RAP and guide interventions for high-risk children, highlighting the clinical implications of these findings.

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