Prognostic Factors for Patients Under 45 Undergoing Surgery for Colorectal Liver Metastases: A SEER Population-Based Study - Summary - MDSpire
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Prognostic Indicators for Surgical Patients Under 45 with Colorectal Liver Metastases: Insights from a SEER Population Analysis

  • By

  • Gabrielle Grob

  • Fang Fang

  • Matvey Karpov

  • Eric Feliberti

  • Marybeth Hughes

  • Rachel Burke

  • Winifred Lo

  • June 18, 2026

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Objective:

To evaluate patient and tumor factors associated with disease-specific survival in young patients (< 45 years old) with colorectal liver metastases compared to older patients (≥ 45 years).

Approach:
  • Data Source: The SEER database was queried for patients with colorectal liver metastases who underwent primary colon and liver resection from 2010 to 2021.
  • Patient Groups: Patients were divided into two groups based on age: < 45 years and ≥ 45 years.
  • Statistical Analysis: Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney U test were used for comparisons; Kaplan-Meier analysis for survival; Cox proportional hazards regression for prognostic factors.
Key Findings:
  • Younger patients had a higher proportion of advanced nodal disease (44% N2 vs. 34% N2 in older patients, p < 0.01).
  • Median overall survival was 61 months for younger patients and 49 months for older patients.
  • 5- and 10-year overall survival rates were higher for younger patients (51.4% (CI 43.5%–58.8%) and 26.5% (CI 18.1%–35.6%)) compared to older patients (41.4% (CI 38.6%–44.2%) and 23.7% (CI 20.8%–26.7%)).
  • Disease-specific survival was also initially better for younger patients but diminished by 10 years.
  • In older patients, higher household income and lower nodal disease burden were associated with lower risk of disease-specific death.
Interpretation:

Younger patients with colorectal liver metastases initially show better survival outcomes compared to older patients, but this advantage diminishes over time.

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and relies on SEER database data, which may have inherent biases.
  • Factors influencing treatment decisions and outcomes may not be fully captured in the database.
Conclusion:

The study emphasizes the importance of tailored prognostic assessments for younger patients with colorectal liver metastases.

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