Associated factors and a risk prediction model for comorbid circadian rhythm sleep-wake disorders in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome: implications for early screening and sleep health management - Summary - MDSpire

Identifying Factors and Developing a Risk Assessment Model for Comorbid Circadian Rhythm Sleep-Wake Disorders in Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Patients: Insights for Early Detection and Sleep Health Strategies

  • By

  • Xiao Shao

  • Fan Yang

  • Le-le Qin

  • Jia-ning Shi

  • Min Chen

  • Wen-jin Ge

  • Tian-jun Jiang

  • Jing-wen Yue

  • Wen Feng

  • Jing-han Wang

  • Zhen-xian Zhang

  • July 20, 2026

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Objective:

To characterize comorbid circadian rhythm sleep-wake disorders (CRSWDs) in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS), identify factors independently associated with CRSWDs, and develop a risk prediction model for early screening and sleep health management.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective study including 610 patients with CFS, divided into training (n = 427) and validation (n = 183) cohorts.
  • Data Analysis: Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed, and a nomogram was developed based on the final model.
  • Model Evaluation: Discriminative ability, calibration, and public health usefulness were evaluated using ROC analysis, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and decision curve analysis.
Key Findings:
  • Among the 427 patients in the training cohort, 208 (48.7%) had comorbid CRSWDs.
  • Factors significantly associated with CRSWDs included gender, BMI, fatigue severity (Fatigue Scale-14, FS-14), slow-wave sleep (SWS, N3%), duration of screen use before bedtime, and shift-work schedule type.
  • Multivariable analysis identified 12-hour rotating shifts (OR = 6.981, 95% CI: 2.603-18.720), 24-hour shifts (OR = 5.316, 95% CI: 2.197-12.863), 8-hour rotating shifts (OR = 3.982, 95% CI: 1.698-9.339), fatigue severity (OR = 1.984, 95% CI: 1.442-2.728), and female sex (OR = 1.892, 95% CI: 1.178-3.037) as independently associated with increased CRSWDs.
  • Increased slow-wave sleep (N3%) was associated with decreased odds of CRSWDs (OR = 0.982, 95% CI: 0.971-0.992).
  • The model demonstrated good performance with AUCs of 0.808 in the training cohort and 0.767 in the validation cohort.
Interpretation:

The study identifies key factors associated with CRSWDs in CFS patients and presents a risk prediction model.

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and may be subject to selection bias.
  • Data were collected from a single center, which may limit generalizability.
Conclusion:

The model may be useful for early screening and risk stratification, aiding in sleep hygiene education and health management for individuals at elevated risk.

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