Predicting adverse events for risk stratification of chemotherapy based stem cell mobilization in multiple myeloma - Summary - MDSpire

Predicting adverse events for risk stratification of chemotherapy based stem cell mobilization in multiple myeloma

  • By

  • F. Schwarz

  • L. Levien

  • M. Maulhardt

  • G. Wulf

  • N. Brökers

  • E. Aydilek

  • February 3, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To analyze the safety of stem-cell mobilization (SCM) in multiple myeloma patients and develop machine learning models to predict adverse events (AEs) and their onset timing.

Key Findings:
  • 97% of patients achieved successful stem cell collection.
  • 69% experienced severe AEs necessitating hospitalization.
  • Risk-stratified outpatient protocols could reduce bed usage by at least one third.
  • Classification models accurately predicted some AE types (e.g., elevated creatinine, ROC-AUC 1.0), but neutropenic fever prediction was challenging (ROC-AUC 0.67).
  • Regression models forecasted AE onset with a mean error of just over one day.
Interpretation:

The study outlines a data-driven approach for safely implementing outpatient SCM, optimizing resource allocation in clinical practice.

Limitations:
  • The datasets analyzed are not publicly available due to privacy and ethical restrictions.
  • Machine learning models may not generalize to all patient populations.
Conclusion:

Outpatient SCM can be safely adopted with proper risk assessment and management strategies.

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