Development and validation of a nomogram to predict symptomatic recurrence following laparoscopic adenomyomectomy - Summary - MDSpire

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict symptomatic recurrence following laparoscopic adenomyomectomy

  • By

  • Yiwen Yao

  • Jilan Jiang

  • Jin Yu

  • Yeping Yang

  • Wenyu Li

  • Feng Sun

  • July 16, 2026

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Objective:

To construct and validate a nomogram to predict symptomatic recurrence after laparoscopic adenomyomectomy based on retrospective clinical data.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective cohort study involving 484 patients who underwent primary laparoscopic adenomyomectomy.
  • Data Collection: Postoperative follow-up data were collected, and independent predictors of recurrence were identified using multivariate Cox regression.
  • Model Validation: The nomogram was evaluated using Harrell’s concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.
Key Findings:
  • Independent predictors of symptomatic recurrence included previous surgical history of ovarian endometrioma, preoperative CA125 level, concomitant ovarian endometrioma, postoperative medication modality, and duration of postoperative therapy.
  • The nomogram demonstrated good discriminatory ability with an AUC of 0.776 (95% CI, 0.728–0.824).
  • Calibration curve performance was also good, and decision curve analysis indicated high net benefit for predicted probability thresholds between 0% and 60%.
Interpretation:

The nomogram provides accurate individualized risk estimation for symptomatic recurrence after laparoscopic adenomyomectomy.

Limitations:
  • The study requires multicenter external validation to confirm the clinical utility of the nomogram.
Conclusion:

The nomogram offers a tool for predicting symptomatic recurrence post-laparoscopic adenomyomectomy, pending further validation.

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