Weight Trajectory Impacts Risk for 10 Distinct Cardiometabolic Diseases - Summary - MDSpire

Weight Trajectory Impacts Risk for 10 Distinct Cardiometabolic Diseases

  • By

  • Alison Z Swartz

  • Kathryn Wood

  • Eric Farber-Eger

  • Alexander Petty

  • Heidi J Silver

  • June 11, 2025

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To determine the relationship between longitudinal weight trajectory and the risk of ten prevalent cardiometabolic diseases among adults with similar high baseline BMI, including specific diseases such as type 2 diabetes and heart failure.

Key Findings:
  • Weight cycling is associated with a nearly 30% increased risk for obstructive sleep apnea (HR 1.28; 95% CI 1.15-1.42), metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (HR 1.28; 95% CI 1.08-1.51), and type 2 diabetes (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.10-1.38).
  • Weight cycling correlates with over a 50% increased risk for heart failure (HR 1.54; 95% CI 1.31-1.82).
  • The risk associated with weight cycling is independent of high baseline BMI.
Interpretation:

The findings suggest that weight cycling may pose a greater risk for various cardiometabolic diseases compared to maintaining a high BMI or experiencing weight gain/loss, highlighting the need for targeted interventions.

Limitations:
  • The study is observational and may not establish causation.
  • Potential biases in self-reported weight data, such as inaccuracies in reporting and the exclusion of certain populations, may affect generalizability.
Conclusion:

Promoting weight stability or sustainable weight loss is crucial to mitigate the risk of cardiometabolic diseases in individuals with high BMI, as indicated by the study's findings.

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