Development and validation of a blood biomarker risk prediction model for postmenopausal endometrioid endometrial cancer - Summary - MDSpire

Development and validation of a blood biomarker risk prediction model for postmenopausal endometrioid endometrial cancer

  • By

  • Hubin Xu

  • Mengyu Zhang

  • Huinan Zhu

  • Haimin Jiang

  • Wenjie Zeng

  • Xiaoyan Chen

  • Huafeng Shou

  • Lingqian Zhao

  • July 3, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the association between preoperative peripheral venous blood biomarkers and postmenopausal endometrioid endometrial carcinoma (EEC) and to develop a clinical risk prediction model.

Approach:
  • Study Design: A retrospective study was conducted on patients who underwent hysteroscopic examination in the Department of Gynecology, Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital, between 2018 and 2024.
  • Data Collection: Clinical data, pathological findings, and peripheral venous blood test results were collected.
  • Statistical Analysis: The t-test and LASSO regression analysis were performed to identify potential risk factors, followed by logistic regression analysis to determine independent risk factors.
  • Model Development: A clinical risk prediction model was developed based on identified factors and assessed for discriminative and calibration abilities.
  • Implementation: The model was deployed in an online calculator for clinical application.
Key Findings:
  • Five independent risk factors identified: BMI, CA125, HE4, PLR, and ALB.
  • The clinical prediction model achieved an AUC of 0.936 (95% CI: 0.9081–0.9631).
  • Model specificity was 89.1% and sensitivity was 90.1%.
Interpretation:

The clinical risk prediction model based on preoperative blood biomarkers demonstrated robust predictive performance.

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and may have selection bias.
  • Limited to a single institution, which may affect generalizability.
Conclusion:

BMI, CA125, HE4, PLR, and ALB were identified as independent risk factors for postmenopausal EEC, supporting the model's potential application in clinical decision-making.

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