Are law enforcement death rates rising? - Summary - MDSpire
Coming Soon: Introducing MDSpire News. Learn more
Conexiant’s news site is now MDSpire News. Learn more

Are law enforcement death rates rising?

  • By

  • Andrea Surnit

  • August 19, 2026

  • 4 min

Share

Objective:

To analyze trends in deaths caused by law enforcement in the US from 2003 to 2024, focusing on demographics such as age, sex, and race.

Approach:
  • Data Source: Utilized National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Multiple Cause-of-Death records from 2003 to 2024, excluding legal executions.
  • Mortality Rate Calculation: Calculated population-based crude mortality rates per 100,000 person-years, examining results by age, sex, and race.
  • Demographic Analysis: Analyzed deaths among adults and children, with a focus on non-Hispanic Black males.
Key Findings:
  • Total of 11,775 deaths caused by law enforcement identified, including 11,505 adults and 270 children.
  • Adult deaths increased from 363 in 2003 to 809 in 2024, with mortality rising from 0.17 to 0.31 per 100,000 person-years, corresponding to an estimated annual increase of 3.5%.
  • Child deaths increased from 8 to 37, with mortality rising from 0.01 to 0.05 per 100,000 person-years, corresponding to an estimated annual increase of 5.6%.
  • Firearms accounted for 88% of deaths (10,314 total).
  • Non-Hispanic Black males had the highest mortality rate at 0.65 per 100,000 person-years.
Limitations:
  • Deaths caused by law enforcement are likely underreported, with estimates of underreporting as high as 55%.
  • Death-certificate coding may have varied over time, influenced by media attention.
Sources:

Original Source(s)

Related Content