Atherogenic index of plasma and severe headaches or migraines risk in US adults: a population-based cross-sectional analysis from NHANES 1999–2004 - Summary - MDSpire

Atherogenic index of plasma and severe headaches or migraines risk in US adults: a population-based cross-sectional analysis from NHANES 1999–2004

  • By

  • Shaoxiong Chen

  • Yi He

  • Jiaheng Xu

  • May 26, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To explore the association between the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and self-reported severe headaches or migraines using NHANES data.

Key Findings:
  • Among 1,218 severe headache or migraine patients, 57.6% were younger than 45 years, 57.6% were female, and 56.6% were smokers.
  • Higher risk of severe headaches or migraines was observed in the second (Q2: 26.5%) and fourth quartiles (Q4: 27.2%) of AIP.
  • After adjustment, Q2 (OR = 1.481) and Q4 (OR = 1.799) exhibited significantly elevated risks compared to Q1.
  • RCS analysis indicated a significant overall association between AIP and severe headaches or migraines (p = 0.029).
  • Subgroup analyses showed higher risks in individuals aged <45 years (OR = 1.50), female (OR = 1.47), and those without diabetes (OR = 1.31) or coronary heart disease (OR = 1.26).
  • XGBoost modeling identified AIP (19.34%) as a highly influential feature associated with severe headaches or migraines.
Interpretation:

Elevated AIP was associated with self-reported severe headaches or migraines, though a consistent dose-response relationship was not established, indicating the need for caution in interpretation.

Limitations:
  • The study is cross-sectional, limiting causal inference.
  • Self-reported data may introduce bias, affecting the reliability of the findings.
Conclusion:

These findings suggest a potential link between AIP and severe headaches or migraines, warranting further prospective studies.

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