Variability of obesity prevalence in US states: are obesity growth or deterioration rates constant for different income quantiles? - Summary - MDSpire

Variability of obesity prevalence in US states: are obesity growth or deterioration rates constant for different income quantiles?

  • By

  • Yuval Arbel

  • Yifat Arbel

  • Oriya Kerner

  • Miryam Kerner

  • July 8, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate how annual changes in obesity rates differ by income quantiles across U.S. states from 2012 to 2020.

Approach:
  • Empirical Model: An empirical model was developed incorporating income-quantile dummy variables and a linear time trend to evaluate differences in average annual changes in obesity prevalence across income groups.
  • Data Source: The analysis utilized state-level data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) to assess annual changes in obesity prevalence.
Key Findings:
  • Obesity prevalence is higher in lower-income groups compared to higher-income groups.
  • All income groups experienced positive annual increases in obesity prevalence from 2012 to 2020.
  • The highest income group (annual income above $75,000) showed a larger average annual increase in obesity prevalence compared to lower and middle-income groups.
  • The estimated time trend for annual changes in obesity prevalence was not statistically significant, indicating stable differences in annual changes across income groups over time.
Interpretation:

The findings highlight persistent socioeconomic differences in obesity prevalence across U.S. states.

Limitations:
  • The study relies on self-reported data, which may underestimate true obesity prevalence.
  • The analysis focuses on annual changes rather than prevalence levels, which may limit broader interpretations.
Conclusion:

Public health responses may benefit from addressing income-related differences in obesity prevalence through initiatives such as information campaigns and improved access to healthy foods.

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