Prognostic value of existing scoring systems for early mortality in phase I immunotherapy trials: a head-to-head real-world cohort study - Summary - MDSpire

Evaluating the Prognostic Utility of Established Scoring Systems for Early Mortality in Phase I Immunotherapy Trials: A Comparative Real-World Cohort Analysis

  • By

  • Paloma Sangro

  • Ana Landa-Magdalena

  • Miguel Sogbe

  • Teresa Zumarraga

  • Ignacio Matos

  • Mariano Ponz-Sarvise

  • Marina Crespo

  • María Esperanza Rodriguez-Ruiz

  • Anna Vilalta-Lacarra

  • Eduardo Castañón

  • July 20, 2026

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Objective:

To compare the prognostic performance of five established scores (RMH, GRIm, LIPI, PIPO, ROPRO) in predicting early mortality in patients enrolled in phase I immunotherapy trials.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective analysis of 844 patients treated with immunotherapy in phase I trials at Clínica Universidad de Navarra from 2016 to 2023.
  • Prognostic Scores: Scores RMH, GRIm, LIPI, PIPO, and ROPRO were calculated according to their original definitions.
  • Performance Assessment: Discriminative performance was evaluated using Harrell’s C-index, 3-month AUC, and time-dependent AUC.
Key Findings:
  • Median overall survival (OS) was 9.08 months.
  • All scores demonstrated statistically significant prognostic stratification.
  • C-index values were: RMH 0.58, GRIm 0.55, LIPI 0.66, PIPO 0.63, and ROPRO 0.69.
  • AUC at 3 months was highest for ROPRO (0.76).
  • No score identified a subgroup with a median OS below 3 months.
Interpretation:

All five scores stratified prognosis but did not effectively identify patients with overall survival below 3 months.

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and conducted at a single center.
  • Scores may not be generalizable to all patient populations or treatment settings.
  • No score effectively identified patients with a median OS below 3 months.
Conclusion:

The findings indicate that while the scores can stratify prognosis, they are insufficient for rigid exclusion criteria.

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