Temporal trends and disparities in heat-related cardiovascular mortality in the United States (1999–2024): a CDC WONDER analysis - Summary - MDSpire

Temporal trends and disparities in heat-related cardiovascular mortality in the United States (1999–2024): a CDC WONDER analysis

  • By

  • Hassaan Abid

  • Gaaitri Lohano

  • Muhammad Vazaym

  • Muhammad Jawad

  • Rimsha Adnan

  • Muhammad Mohid Haroon

  • June 24, 2026

  • 0 min

Share

Objective:

To evaluate national trends in heat-related cardiovascular mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2024.

Approach:
  • Data Source: Retrospective analysis using the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause-of-Death database.
  • Population: Adults aged ≥25 years with heat-related conditions (ICD-10 code T67) and circulatory system diseases (ICD-10 codes I00–I99).
  • Analysis Method: Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) calculated; temporal trends analyzed using Joinpoint regression.
Key Findings:
  • A total of 10,731 deaths were identified from heat-related cardiovascular conditions.
  • Mortality declined significantly from 1999 to 2004, followed by variable trends.
  • A sharp and statistically significant increase in mortality was observed from 2015 to 2024 (APC: 17.58%; p < 0.001).
  • Males demonstrated a significant overall increase in mortality (AAPC: 3.64%; p = 0.034).
  • Hispanic populations exhibited the most pronounced recent increases in mortality.
  • The highest burden of mortality was observed in the Western and Southern United States.
Interpretation:

Heat-related cardiovascular mortality has increased significantly in recent years, with notable demographic and geographic disparities.

Limitations:
  • Analysis limited to adults aged ≥25 years.
  • Data on race and ethnicity restricted to certain groups due to reliability concerns.
Conclusion:

The study highlights the increasing impact of climate-related heat exposure on cardiovascular mortality.

Original Source(s)

Related Content