Hemoglobin glycation index and short-term mortality in sepsis: a retrospective cohort study with external validation - Summary - MDSpire

Hemoglobin glycation index and short-term mortality in sepsis: a retrospective cohort study with external validation

  • By

  • Qianping Zhang

  • Yan Zhang

  • Xuemeng Li

  • Xinyi Tian

  • Zhijun Meng

  • Jin Zhang

  • Jie Weng

  • Kaifan Lin

  • Bihuan Cheng

  • Yuqiang Gong

  • Ye Gao

  • July 8, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the association between hemoglobin glycation index (HGI) and short-term mortality in patients with sepsis and validate these findings in an external cohort.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective cohort study using the MIMIC-IV database with an external validation cohort.
  • Population: Included adult ICU patients with sepsis identified by Sepsis-3 criteria.
  • Outcome Measures: Primary outcome was 28-day mortality; HGI was calculated as the difference between observed and predicted HbA1c based on admission glucose.
Key Findings:
  • 28-day mortality rate was 23.25% in the primary cohort.
  • Non-survivors had significantly lower HGI levels than survivors (p < 0.001).
  • Patients in the highest HGI quartile had a lower risk of 28-day mortality (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.52–0.94, p = 0.018).
  • Similar trends were observed for 60-day mortality (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.58–1.00, p = 0.050) and 90-day mortality (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.62–1.04, p = 0.101).
  • External validation cohort supported the association of higher HGI with reduced 28-day mortality.
Interpretation:

The study found an association between higher HGI and lower short-term mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis, particularly for 28-day mortality.

Limitations:
  • Retrospective design may introduce bias.
  • Findings need prospective validation to determine clinical utility.
Conclusion:

The study suggests that HGI may provide information relevant to the early phase of sepsis.

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