Effectiveness of the 2023 Southern Hemisphere Influenza Vaccine Against Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness: A Multi-Country Test-Negative Design Study - Summary - MDSpire

Effectiveness of the 2023 Southern Hemisphere Influenza Vaccine Against Outpatient Influenza-Like Illness: A Multi-Country Test-Negative Design Study

  • By

  • Annette K Regan

  • Radhika Gharpure

  • Monique Chilver

  • Nigel Stocks

  • Siobhan St George

  • Sibongile Walaza

  • Anne von Gottberg

  • Nicole Wolter

  • Cheryl Cohen

  • Aaron M Samuels

  • Kriengkrai Prasert

  • Prabda Praphasiri

  • William W Davis

  • Chakrarat Pittayawonganon

  • Sheena G Sullivan

  • Eduardo Azziz-Baumgartner

  • September 17, 2025

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To estimate the effectiveness of the 2023 Southern Hemisphere formulation of the seasonal influenza vaccine in preventing outpatient medically attended influenza-like illness (ILI) in Australia, South Africa, and Thailand.

Key Findings:
  • Pooled VE was 68% (95% CI: 57%, 76%) against ILI with any influenza virus.
  • VE was 62% (95% CI: 39%, 76%) against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09.
  • VE was 60% (95% CI: 38%, 75%) against influenza A(H3N2).
  • VE was 76% (95% CI: 59%, 86%) against influenza B.
  • VE declined from 82% to 43% as the time from vaccination increased from 14 days to 150 days.
Interpretation:

The 2023 Southern Hemisphere influenza vaccine demonstrated significant effectiveness against ILI across three countries, highlighting the importance of seasonal vaccination programs.

Limitations:
  • The study may not fully capture all outpatient cases due to reliance on sentinel surveillance.
  • Potential biases in self-reported vaccination status could affect VE estimates.
  • Variability in influenza virus circulation and vaccine strains across countries may influence results.
Conclusion:

The findings support the public health benefits of the 2023 Southern Hemisphere influenza vaccination program in reducing outpatient ILI.

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