Multitask learning for early treatment response and survival prediction in lung cancer radiotherapy using sequential CBCT imaging - Summary - MDSpire

Deep Learning Approaches for Predicting Treatment Response and Survival Outcomes in Lung Cancer Radiotherapy Through Sequential CBCT Imaging

  • By

  • Yumei Li

  • Zhouji Wei

  • Chenlong Luo

  • Yejun Gong

  • Ye Zhang

  • Feng Zhang

  • Chunyan Liu

  • July 21, 2026

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Objective:

To develop a multitask deep learning framework for simultaneous treatment response classification and progression-free survival (PFS) prediction using planning CT, dose, and sequential CBCT.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective analysis of 142 lung cancer patients using a lightweight network with cross-modal attention fusion and dual task heads.
  • Model Training: The model was trained end-to-end and benchmarked against 12 baseline methods via 5-fold cross-validation.
Key Findings:
  • Using only the first on-treatment CBCT, the model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.858 ± 0.078 and a concordance index (C-index) of 0.672 ± 0.058, outperforming all baseline methods.
  • Ablation analysis confirmed the contributions of attention fusion and multitask training.
  • Additional CBCT scans degraded classification performance, likely due to increased dimensionality relative to the cohort size.
Interpretation:

The first on-treatment CBCT provided the strongest early predictive signal for treatment response classification; adding subsequent scans degraded performance and produced only a marginal change in survival concordance under the current study setting.

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and may not generalize to larger cohorts, which could limit the applicability of the findings.
  • Increased dimensionality from additional CBCT scans negatively impacted classification performance.
Conclusion:

The first on-treatment CBCT is crucial for early prediction of treatment response in lung cancer radiotherapy.

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