Risk factors and prediction model for necrotizing enterocolitis in preterm infants with gestational age ≤ 32 weeks: a retrospective cohort study - Summary - MDSpire

Risk factors and prediction model for necrotizing enterocolitis in preterm infants with gestational age ≤ 32 weeks: a retrospective cohort study

  • By

  • Hao Li

  • GuiXiang Zeng

  • YaoXun Wu

  • Lin Cheng

  • LianFang Jing

  • HanLu Zhong

  • Yu Xie

  • Zhe Wei

  • KeMou Wu

  • Jun Fu

  • XiuLi Deng

  • HuaBo Tang

  • RenZhuang Huang

  • YanTing Lin

  • MingJie Lin

  • ShaSha Wei

  • DongMei Jiang

  • Yan Li

  • June 2, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To develop a reference tool for necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) prevention and treatment by constructing a predictive model for NEC risk in preterm infants (≤32 weeks’ gestation) in Guangxi, China.

Key Findings:
  • The incidence of NEC among preterm infants was 12.27% (61/497).
  • Significant predictors identified included intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), neonatal respiratory distress syndrome (NRDS), sepsis, and invasive ventilator use.
  • A higher 5-minute Apgar score was a protective factor against NEC.
  • The nomogram prediction model showed excellent discriminatory ability with AUC of 0.917 in the training set and 0.906 in the test set.
Interpretation:

Remove unsupported claims about the model's effectiveness.

Limitations:
  • Retrospective design may introduce bias.
  • Data limited to a specific geographic region (Guangxi, China).
  • Potential confounding factors not accounted for in the analysis.
Conclusion:

Revise to eliminate unsupported claims regarding guidance for prevention and treatment.

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