A study on risk prediction of decline in self-care ability one month after discharge in postoperative colorectal cancer patients based on routine clinical indicators - Summary - MDSpire

A study on risk prediction of decline in self-care ability one month after discharge in postoperative colorectal cancer patients based on routine clinical indicators

  • By

  • Wenjie Wang

  • Fu Yang

  • Xian Shen

  • Yifan Jiang

  • Rui Tai

  • Yangyang Li

  • Yan Peng

  • Pengfei Yang

  • Yanping Zhuang

  • Jiaqi Yu

  • Mei Wang

  • Fang Fang

  • June 5, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the risk factors for the decline in activities of daily living (ADL) one month after discharge in colorectal cancer patients with normal ADL at discharge, and to establish a risk prediction model to provide evidence for early screening of high-risk populations and optimized transitional care in clinical practice.

Key Findings:
  • 19.4% of patients developed ADL decline one month after discharge.
  • Height and retinol-binding protein were negatively correlated with reduced self-care ability (P < 0.05).
  • Mean red blood cell volume, triglycerides, and coronary heart disease history were positively correlated with reduced self-care ability (P < 0.05).
  • The prediction model had an AUC of 0.884, indicating good discrimination and calibration.
Interpretation:

The prediction model can effectively identify high-risk patients early, allowing for tailored discharge preparation and transitional care interventions.

Limitations:
  • The study was conducted at a single center, which may limit generalizability.
  • The retrospective design may introduce biases in data collection and analysis.
  • The sample size may affect the robustness of the findings.
Conclusion:

The prediction model incorporating height, mean corpuscular volume, retinol-binding protein, triglyceride, and coronary heart disease history can effectively identify high-risk patients early.

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