Post-acute metabolic changes and risk of new-onset diabetes following COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis - Summary - MDSpire

Post-acute metabolic changes and risk of new-onset diabetes following COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis

  • By

  • Bukola Lawal

  • Shuaibu Saidu Musa

  • May Soe Thu

  • Thunnicha Ondee

  • Oranut Chatsirisakul

  • Krit Pongpirul

  • May 21, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To quantify the risk of new-onset diabetes following COVID-19 infection and evaluate changes in key metabolic parameters at least three months after infection, highlighting the importance of these alterations.

Key Findings:
  • 41% increased risk of new-onset diabetes among COVID-19 survivors compared to non-infected individuals (RR 1.41, 95% CI: 1.38–1.44), indicating a significant public health concern.
  • Higher HbA1c levels (SMD 1.44, 95% CI: 0.36–2.52) indicating impaired glycemic control, which may lead to long-term health issues.
  • Increased insulin resistance measured by HOMA-IR (SMD 0.96, 95% CI: 0.33–1.58), suggesting a need for monitoring.
  • Inconsistent findings for fasting blood glucose (FBG) with high heterogeneity (SMD 0.77, 95% CI: −0.40–1.94), warranting further investigation.
Interpretation:

COVID-19 may lead to an increased risk of diabetes and persistent metabolic dysregulation, with implications for clinical practice; findings should be interpreted cautiously due to study limitations and heterogeneity.

Limitations:
  • Limited number of studies contributing to pooled risk estimates, which may affect the reliability of results.
  • Influence of large registry-based data on results, potentially introducing bias.
  • Heterogeneity across study designs and populations, complicating the interpretation of findings.
Conclusion:

Findings support the need for metabolic monitoring and follow-up in post-COVID care, especially for individuals at higher cardiometabolic risk, and highlight the necessity for further research to address existing gaps.

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