Trends and disparities in deaths involving atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and stroke-related conditions among U.S. adults, 1999–2025 - Summary - MDSpire

Trends and disparities in deaths involving atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and stroke-related conditions among U.S. adults, 1999–2025

  • By

  • Muhammad Atif Mazhar

  • Abdal Ahmad

  • Vishan Das

  • Danyal Ahmad

  • Kaneez Fatima

  • Muhammad Mukhlis

  • Eshal Atif

  • Zubair Ahmed

  • Sadia Qazi

  • July 16, 2026

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Objective:

To evaluate national trends and disparities in mortality involving coexisting ASCVD- and stroke-related conditions among U.S. adults from 1999 to 2025.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Retrospective population-based study using the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death database.
  • Population: Included adults aged ≥25 years.
  • Mortality Identification: Deaths identified when both ASCVD-related and stroke-related ICD-10 codes were documented on the same death certificate.
  • Data Analysis: Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) calculated per 100,000 using the 2000 U.S. standard population.
Key Findings:
  • Total of 876,383 deaths identified with an overall average AAMR of 15.01 per 100,000.
  • Mortality declined from 26.82 in 1999 to 10.91 per 100,000 in 2025, with an average annual percent change (AAPC) of −3.53% (95% CI, −4.27 to −2.78; p < 0.001).
  • A borderline significant increase in AAMR was observed during 2018–2021 (APC: 6.06%; 95% CI, 0.01–12.48; p = 0.050).
  • Mortality burden remained higher among men, older adults, Black individuals, residents of the South, and non-metropolitan populations.
  • Adults aged 25–44 years showed a significant increase in mortality after 2015.
Interpretation:

Mortality involving coexisting ASCVD- and stroke-related conditions declined substantially from 1999 to 2025, but this progress was interrupted by a borderline reversal during the pandemic period and marked by persistent disparities.

Limitations:
  • Death-certificate data do not establish clinically adjudicated concurrent disease.
  • Analysis restricted to adults aged ≥25 years may overlook younger populations.
Conclusion:

Findings highlight the need for stronger and more equitable prevention strategies, particularly for younger adults and high-burden populations and regions.

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