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Is MAR Associated With Hormone‐Related Cancer Risk?
A target trial emulation found small excess risks following fertility treatment, although the observed associations may largely reflect underlying infertility and increased medical surveillance.
To investigate the association between medically assisted reproduction (MAR) and the risk of hormone-related cancers in women.
Approach:
Study Design: A retrospective cohort study using an emulated target trial design based on linked Australian national registries and administrative datasets.
Population: Included 1,748,927 women aged 18 to 55 years from 1991 to 2018, with 396,661 undergoing MAR.
Treatment Exposure: Included assisted reproductive technology (ART), intrauterine insemination or ovarian stimulation (IUI/OS), and ovulation induction with clomiphene citrate.
Outcomes: Main outcomes were incident hormone-related invasive cancers, including breast, ovarian, uterine, thyroid, colorectal, and melanoma.
Key Findings:
Higher observed rates of hormone-related cancers were noted in women who underwent MAR, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.09 to 1.64, but these associations may be influenced by underlying infertility-related conditions and increased medical surveillance.
The estimated excess risk amounted to fewer than 20 additional cancers per 100,000 treated women annually compared to matched groups.
Increased risks were observed in the first years following MAR, decreasing over time, often reaching little or no excess risk after approximately 10 years.
Underlying infertility-related conditions may account for several observed associations with cancers.
Increased medical surveillance and earlier cancer detection may contribute to the observed associations.
Interpretation:
The findings indicate that the observed associations with hormone-related cancer following MAR may reflect underlying patient characteristics and increased medical surveillance rather than treatment effects.
Limitations:
The observational design prevents establishing causality.
Important confounders such as the underlying cause of infertility, smoking, family history of cancer, and other patient characteristics were unavailable.
Findings may not be generalizable beyond Australia's subsidized MAR system.
Conclusion:
The study indicates that any excess risk of hormone-related cancer following MAR may be influenced by the health and sociodemographic profile of women receiving MAR and increased surveillance during treatment.