A prediction for sepsis in adult patients with severe cerebrovascular disease from neurological intensive care unit - Summary - MDSpire

A prediction for sepsis in adult patients with severe cerebrovascular disease from neurological intensive care unit

  • By

  • Haiyang Sun

  • Shuyun Sun

  • Yan Huang

  • Jingbo Sun

  • Chuanchuan Yu

  • Lixin Wang

  • Xiao Cheng

  • July 7, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of blood biomarkers for early diagnosis of sepsis in ICU patients with acute moderate to severe stroke.

Approach:
  • Study Design: A prospective cohort study was conducted involving 157 patients with severe cerebrovascular disease admitted to the NICU.
  • Biomarker Assessment: Blood biomarkers IL-10, MIP-1β, TNF-α, nNOS, iNOS, MMP-9, S-100β, and ET-1 were detected using Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) within 48 hours after symptom onset.
  • Statistical Analysis: Multi-factorial logistic regression was used to construct a prediction model for sepsis, with internal validation via bootstrap validation.
Key Findings:
  • The prevalence of sepsis in acute moderate-to-severe stroke patients was 12.1%.
  • Patients with sepsis had lower GCS scores and higher NIHSS scores compared to those without sepsis.
  • Four significant variables identified for the prediction model were Hyperlipidaemia, IL-10, NIHSS, and Blood creatinine.
  • The prediction model achieved an AUC of 0.816 (95% CI: 0.721 ~ 0.911).
Interpretation:

The study successfully established a prediction model for sepsis in acute moderate-to-severe stroke patients using specific blood biomarkers and clinical parameters.

Limitations:
  • The study was conducted in a single center, which may limit generalizability.
  • The sample size may not be sufficient to fully validate the prediction model.
Conclusion:

The prediction model developed in this study shows promise for early identification of sepsis in patients with acute severe stroke.

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