Prediction model for risk of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in wasp sting patients: development and validation - Takeaways - MDSpire

Prediction model for risk of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in wasp sting patients: development and validation

  • By

  • Hongmei Dai

  • Dongmei Liu

  • Li Yang

  • Jiawei Chen

  • Xiaogang Du

  • June 25, 2026

  • 0 min

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  • 1

    Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) is a severe complication of wasp stings, with a death rate exceeding 40%.

  • 2

    A study of 324 wasp sting patients identified age, time to admission, pleural effusion, RALE score, MPV/PLT, and SIRI as independent risk factors for MODS.

  • 3

    A nomogram-based prediction model for MODS was developed, showing an AUC of 0.828, with sensitivity of 66.7% and specificity of 87.9%.

  • 4

    The model integrates clinical characteristics, imaging findings, and laboratory parameters for risk assessment of MODS.

  • 5

    Further validation of the model is needed through large-scale, multicenter, prospective studies to confirm its reliability.

Original Source(s)

Prediction model for risk of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in wasp sting patients: development and validation

  • by Hongmei Dai, Dongmei Liu, Li Yang, Jiawei Chen, Xiaogang Du

  • June 25, 2026

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