Development and validation of a machine learning model for sperm DNA fragmentation rate in infertile men: a multicenter retrospective study - Takeaways - MDSpire

Development and validation of a machine learning model for sperm DNA fragmentation rate in infertile men: a multicenter retrospective study

  • By

  • Ke Wang

  • Jinxia Zheng

  • Xuanxuan Ge

  • Jie Bai

  • Mengmeng Ma

  • Ningxin Qin

  • Xin Huang

  • Hui Jiang

  • You Zhang

  • June 22, 2026

  • 0 min

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  • 1

    A machine learning model was developed to predict sperm DNA fragmentation index (DFI) in infertile men using clinical and semen parameters.

  • 2

    The Random Forest model demonstrated the highest predictive performance with an AUC of 0.979 in the development cohort and 0.945 in external validation.

  • 3

    Core factors influencing DFI included sperm motility, concentration, viability, lifestyle habits, and stress levels, which were used to create an online prediction platform.

  • 4

    The model showed notable miscalibration in external validation, indicating systematic overestimation of risk and necessitating further validation before clinical use.

  • 5

    This study highlights the importance of integrating machine learning in assessing sperm quality, addressing limitations of traditional sperm analysis methods.

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