Modeling the disruptive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on nurses’ supply and wages - Takeaways - MDSpire

Modeling the disruptive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on nurses’ supply and wages

  • By

  • Raffaele Vardavas

  • Pedro Nascimento De Lima

  • Lawrence Baker

  • Christina Crowley

  • Katherine Carman

  • Andrew M. Parker

  • Mahshid Abir

  • June 12, 2026

  • 0 min

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  • 1

    The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted nurse labor supply and wages due to worsening working conditions and increased occupational stress.

  • 2

    Federal relief funds aimed to alleviate nursing shortages, but their impact on healthcare labor markets remains inadequately characterized.

  • 3

    A behavioral economic model was developed to simulate nurse supply and wage dynamics during the pandemic, incorporating epidemiological data.

  • 4

    Scenario analyses revealed a tension in relief fund design, balancing immediate staffing needs against the risk of over-reliance on contract labor.

  • 5

    The model provides insights for future public health emergencies, aiding in decision-making to optimize nurse labor supply and healthcare delivery.

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