Assessing PEPFAR’s Economic and Educational Spillover Effects: An Update - Takeaways - MDSpire

Assessing PEPFAR’s Economic and Educational Spillover Effects: An Update

  • By

  • William Crown

  • Jennifer Kates

  • Deborah Stenoien

  • Allyala Nandakumar

  • May 20, 2026

  • 0 min

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  • 1

    PEPFAR has saved 26 million lives and significantly improved GDP per capita growth rates in participating countries from 2004 to 2022.

  • 2

    The program was linked to a 1.98 percentage point higher annual GDP growth rate compared to expected outcomes without PEPFAR.

  • 3

    PEPFAR contributed to a 43.3% decline in the share of primary school-age girls out of school and a 44.1% decline for boys.

  • 4

    The positive educational impacts of PEPFAR were more pronounced in countries with intensive planning and programming.

  • 5

    Recent funding cuts to PEPFAR could negatively affect both HIV response and broader economic and educational improvements.

Original Source(s)

Assessing PEPFAR’s Economic and Educational Spillover Effects: An Update

  • by William Crown, Jennifer Kates, Deborah Stenoien, Allyala Nandakumar

  • May 20, 2026

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