Predicting Recurrence in Early Melanoma
Study identifies tumor features beyond staging that predict recurrence risk in early disease
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By
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Andrea Surnit
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April 1, 2026
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1
Ulceration, tumor thickness, and anatomic site significantly predict recurrence in stage I and II melanoma patients.
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In a study of 1,092 melanoma patients, 16% experienced recurrence over a median follow-up of 7 years.
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Recurrence rates increased from 4% in stage IA to 37% in stage IIB and 36% in stage IIC melanoma.
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Distant recurrence was the most common, occurring in 48% of cases, with significant factors including tumor location.
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Additional variables like neurotropism and lymphovascular invasion were linked to shorter time to recurrence.