Predicting Recurrence in Early Melanoma - Takeaways - MDSpire

Predicting Recurrence in Early Melanoma

  • By

  • Andrea Surnit

  • April 1, 2026

  • 3 min

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  • 1

    Ulceration, tumor thickness, and anatomic site significantly predict recurrence in stage I and II melanoma patients.

  • 2

    In a study of 1,092 melanoma patients, 16% experienced recurrence over a median follow-up of 7 years.

  • 3

    Recurrence rates increased from 4% in stage IA to 37% in stage IIB and 36% in stage IIC melanoma.

  • 4

    Distant recurrence was the most common, occurring in 48% of cases, with significant factors including tumor location.

  • 5

    Additional variables like neurotropism and lymphovascular invasion were linked to shorter time to recurrence.

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