Interim Estimated Effectiveness of 2025-2026 COVID-19 Vaccines in Adults Using a Test-Negative Design - Takeaways - MDSpire

Interim Estimated Effectiveness of 2025-2026 COVID-19 Vaccines in Adults Using a Test-Negative Design

  • By

  • Ryan E. Wiegand

  • Sean Chickery

  • Duck-Hye Yang

  • Sarah W. Ball

  • Malini B. DeSilva

  • Kristin Dascomb

  • Stephanie A. Irving

  • Karthik Natarajan

  • Nicola P. Klein

  • Shaun J. Grannis

  • Toan C. Ong

  • Elizabeth A. K. Rowley

  • Adam Yates

  • Yan Zhuang

  • Sarah Wilson

  • Charlene E. McEvoy

  • Inih J. Essien

  • Omobosola O. Akinsete

  • Allison L. Naleway

  • Padma Koppolu

  • Ousseny Zerbo

  • John R. Hansen

  • Karen B. Jacobson

  • Lawrence Block

  • Brian E. Dixon

  • Thomas Duszynski

  • Colin Rogerson

  • Michelle A. Barron

  • Catia Chavez

  • Josephine Mak

  • Allison Avrich Ciesla

  • Monica Godfrey

  • Amber Kautz

  • Morgan Najdowski

  • Ruth Link-Gelles

  • Jennifer DeCuir

  • Amanda B. Payne

  • June 23, 2026

  • 0 min

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  • 1

    COVID-19 was linked to an estimated 390,000 to 550,000 hospitalizations in the US from October 2024 to September 2025.

  • 2

    The FDA approved monovalent COVID-19 vaccines for 2025-2026 based on the Omicron LP.8.1 strain on August 27, 2025.

  • 3

    The study estimated vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19-related emergency department encounters and hospitalizations among immunocompetent adults.

  • 4

    A total of 85,725 encounters were analyzed, including 3,941 case patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 tests and 81,784 control patients.

  • 5

    Vaccination history was obtained from immunization information systems, electronic health records, and medical claims data.

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